Juan Pablo II vs CD Sport Huancayo: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with CD Sport Huancayo applying more of the pressure.
61' — Hugo Angeles of CD Sport Huancayo was sent off. 65' — Juan Pablo II took the lead: 1-0. Erinson Ramirez scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Juan Pablo II extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. After 91' the momentum swung to Juan Pablo II. Juan Pablo II won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Juan Pablo IIDrawCD Sport Huancayo
Pre-match model estimate: Juan Pablo II 28%, draw 24%, CD Sport Huancayo 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Juan Pablo IICD Sport Huancayo
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2222
Last 15 min3728
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Juan Pablo II win in 28% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD Sport Huancayo win 48%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The first half ended 0-0, with CD Sport Huancayo the side applying more pressure.
CD Sport Huancayo had a player sent off on 61 minutes: Hugo Angeles. Juan Pablo II took the lead on 65 minutes thanks to Erinson Ramirez from the penalty spot. The officials disallowed a CD Sport Huancayo goal on 69 minutes. Juan Pablo II extended their lead to 2-0 on 90 minutes. From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards Juan Pablo II.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-6.
What the result means
Juan Pablo II climb from 7th to 6th on 25 points. CD Sport Huancayo remain 1st, now with 28 points. CD Sport Huancayo's winning streak stops at 7.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Clausura
