Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Yanbian Longding FC beat Jiangxi Dingnan United FC 2-1 in League 1.
Venue: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
In our records Jiangxi Dingnan United FC and Yanbian Longding FC have met 7 times: Jiangxi Dingnan United FC won 1, 2 ended level and Yanbian Longding FC won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Yanbian Longding FC 3-0 Jiangxi Dingnan United FC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Yanbian Longding FC won 1-2.
Story
Jiangxi Dingnan United FC vs Yanbian Longding FC: the story of the match
4' — Jiangxi Dingnan United FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
53' — Yanbian Longding FC equalised: 1-1. 89' — Yanbian Longding FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. Yanbian Longding FC won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Jiangxi Dingnan United FCDrawYanbian Longding FC
Pre-match model estimate: Jiangxi Dingnan United FC 46%, draw 24%, Yanbian Longding FC 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Jiangxi Dingnan United FC win in 46% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Yanbian Longding FC win 30%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jiangxi Dingnan United FC – Yanbian Longding FC match report
