Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza CEIF: the story of the match
13' — Internacional de Bogota took the lead: 1-0. Ronaldo Julio scored it. Half time: 1-0.
70' — Larry Vásquez of Internacional de Bogota was sent off. 74' — Fortaleza CEIF equalised: 1-1. Franco Pulicastro scored it. 81' — Internacional de Bogota went back in front: 2-1. Dewar Victoria scored it. Internacional de Bogota won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Internacional de BogotaDrawFortaleza CEIF
Pre-match model estimate: Internacional de Bogota 46%, draw 25%, Fortaleza CEIF 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Internacional de Bogota win in 46% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Fortaleza CEIF win 29%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Internacional de Bogota – Fortaleza CEIF match report
Internacional de Bogota took the lead on 13 minutes thanks to Ronaldo Julio, set up by Cristián Dájome. Internacional de Bogota led 1-0 at the break.
Internacional de Bogota were a man down from the 70th minute, when Larry Vásquez was sent off for a second yellow card. Fortaleza CEIF drew level at 1-1 on 74 minutes thanks to Franco Pulicastro, set up by Sebastián Navarro. Dewar Victoria put Internacional de Bogota 2-1 ahead after 81 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 3-5, 2-1 on target. Internacional de Bogota won 3 corners, Fortaleza CEIF 6. Fortaleza CEIF produced 67 dangerous attacks to Internacional de Bogota's 22.
What it means
The result takes Internacional de Bogota to 31 points. Fortaleza CEIF move on to 22 points. Internacional de Bogota extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. Internacional de Bogota ended Fortaleza CEIF's unbeaten run of 4 matches. It is Internacional de Bogota's first win over Fortaleza CEIF in the last 10 meetings on record.
What’s next
Internacional de Bogota host Independiente Medellin next, on 29 October in the Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion. Next up for Fortaleza CEIF: away at America de Cali on Thursday 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
