We had a Independiente Yumbo win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Independiente Yumbo 59%✗ Most likely score 1-0
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Boca Juniors De Cali won 2-4.
Story
Independiente Yumbo vs Boca Juniors De Cali: the story of the match
4' — Independiente Yumbo took the lead: 1-0. T. Diaz scored from the penalty spot. 24' — Boca Juniors De Cali equalised: 1-1. J. Aponza scored it. 36' — Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround: 1-2. J. Aponza scored it. Half time: 1-2.
60' — Independiente Yumbo equalised: 2-2. An own goal by J. Andrade. 66' — Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround: 2-3. D. Cortes scored it. 89' — Boca Juniors De Cali extended the lead: 2-4. J. Salcedo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Boca Juniors De Cali won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Independiente YumboDrawBoca Juniors De Cali
Pre-match model estimate: Independiente Yumbo 59%, draw 24%, Boca Juniors De Cali 17%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Independiente Yumbo win in 59% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Boca Juniors De Cali win 17%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Independiente Yumbo – Boca Juniors De Cali match report
Independiente Yumbo took the lead in the 4th minute with T. Diaz from the penalty spot. Boca Juniors De Cali drew level at 1-1 in the 24th minute through J. Aponza. Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 36 minutes thanks to J. Aponza. Boca Juniors De Cali led 2-1 at the break.
Independiente Yumbo drew level at 2-2 in the 60th minute with an own goal from J. Andrade. The officials disallowed a Independiente Yumbo goal on 66 minutes. Boca Juniors De Cali completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 66 minutes thanks to D. Cortes. Late on, in the 89th minute, Boca Juniors De Cali extended their lead to 4-2 through J. Salcedo.
The statistics
Independiente Yumbo had 14 shots (7 on target) to Boca Juniors De Cali's 14 (10). Corners finished 2-4.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.