We had a Independiente Petrolero win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Independiente Petrolero 59%✗ Most likely score 2-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Real Tomayapo won 0-2.
Story
Independiente Petrolero vs CD Real Tomayapo: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
56' — CD Real Tomayapo took the lead: 0-1. Ruan Costa scored it. 86' — CD Real Tomayapo extended the lead: 0-2. Ramiro Eguez scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CD Real Tomayapo won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Independiente PetroleroDrawCD Real Tomayapo
Pre-match model estimate: Independiente Petrolero 59%, draw 21%, CD Real Tomayapo 20%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Independiente Petrolero win in 59% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and CD Real Tomayapo win 20%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 30%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Independiente Petrolero – CD Real Tomayapo match report
CD Real Tomayapo kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Independiente Petrolero in the LFPB. The half-time score was 0-0. Ruan Costa was our player of the match, rated 7.9 by the ScoreMondo model for CD Real Tomayapo.
How the match unfolded
It was Independiente Petrolero 0-0 CD Real Tomayapo at half-time.
CD Real Tomayapo took the lead on 56 minutes thanks to Ruan Costa. Late on, in the 86th minute, CD Real Tomayapo extended their lead to 2-0 through Ramiro Eguez. VAR checked and confirmed the CD Real Tomayapo goal on 89 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-6, from 2 and 7 attempts respectively. Independiente Petrolero led on expected goals, 0.78 to 0.71. Cards: 3-2 in yellows. Independiente Petrolero produced 54 dangerous attacks to CD Real Tomayapo's 36.
The bigger picture
Independiente Petrolero drop from 9th to 11th on 30 points. The result lifts CD Real Tomayapo to 13th with 23 points, up from 15th. Independiente Petrolero's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Coming up
Independiente Petrolero's next match is at home against Always Ready on 11 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
