Iceland vs Luxembourg kick-off time: 16/11/2026 17:00
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- IcelandDWWDWUnbeaten in 5 matches
- LuxembourgLLLWW3 defeats in a row
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeagueLuxembourg0 - 3Iceland
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Iceland and Luxembourg meet on in UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Iceland (60%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Iceland vs Luxembourg: preview
Iceland have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Iceland are unbeaten in 5 matches. 5 of Iceland's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Luxembourg have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Luxembourg have lost 3 matches in a row. 3 of Luxembourg's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 1.
Our pre-match model estimate: Iceland 60%, draw 24%, Luxembourg 16%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Iceland win in 60% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Luxembourg win 16%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 41%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
