Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Bronshoj BK beat Holbaek B&I 2-1 in 3rd Division.
In our records Holbaek B&I and Bronshoj BK have met 7 times: Holbaek B&I won 5, 2 ended level and Bronshoj BK won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Bronshoj BK 1-4 Holbaek B&I.
Match decisions & VAR
23'Goal disallowedHolbaek B&IDecision · Score 1-1
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Bronshoj BK won 1-2.
Story
Holbaek B&I vs Bronshoj BK: the story of the match
9' — Holbaek B&I took the lead: 1-0. 23' — Bronshoj BK equalised: 1-1. 39' — Bronshoj BK completed the turnaround: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
Bronshoj BK won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Holbaek B&IDrawBronshoj BK
Pre-match model estimate: Holbaek B&I 45%, draw 23%, Bronshoj BK 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Holbaek B&I win in 45% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Bronshoj BK win 32%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 64%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Holbaek B&I took the lead on 9 minutes. Holbaek B&I had a goal ruled out in the 23rd minute. Bronshoj BK drew level at 1-1 on 23 minutes. Bronshoj BK completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 39 minutes. It was Holbaek B&I 1-2 Bronshoj BK at half-time.
Match statistics
Holbaek B&I won 5 corners, Bronshoj BK 4.
What the result means
The result takes Holbaek B&I to 23 points. Bronshoj BK move on to 25 points. Bronshoj BK ended Holbaek B&I's unbeaten run of 4 matches. Bronshoj BK have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. It is Bronshoj BK's first win over Holbaek B&I in the last 7 meetings on record.
Coming up
Holbaek B&I's next match is away to AS Aarhus on 14 November. Bronshoj BK host Vanlose IF next, on 14 November in the 3rd Division.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
