AS Aarhus vs Holbaek B&I kick-off time: 14/11/2026 14:00
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- AS AarhusLLLLL5 defeats in a row
- Holbaek B&ILWWDWScored in 3 matches in a row
Recent meetings
More- 3rd DivisionHolbaek B&I2 - 1AS Aarhus
3rd Division
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbaek B&I | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | Bronshoj BK | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 | Naesby BK | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | AS Aarhus | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Horsholm Usserod | 11 | +3 | 15 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
AS Aarhus and Holbaek B&I meet on in 3rd Division.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Holbaek B&I (53%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
AS Aarhus vs Holbaek B&I: preview
AS Aarhus have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. AS Aarhus have lost 5 matches in a row. 7 of AS Aarhus's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Holbaek B&I have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Holbaek B&I have scored in 3 matches in a row. 9 of Holbaek B&I's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
AS Aarhus are in position 6 with 16 points, Holbaek B&I in position 1 with 23 points. A win could lift AS Aarhus as high as position 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: AS Aarhus 25%, draw 22%, Holbaek B&I 53%.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 5.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): AS Aarhus win in 25% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Holbaek B&I win 53%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
