Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
NK BSK Bijelo Brdo beat HNK Vukovar 91 2-0 in 1. NL.
In our records HNK Vukovar 91 and NK BSK Bijelo Brdo have met 10 times: HNK Vukovar 91 won 4, 5 ended level and NK BSK Bijelo Brdo won 1.
Their latest meeting (): HNK Vukovar 91 2-0 NK BSK Bijelo Brdo.
Match decisions & VAR
75'Penalty awardedNK BSK Bijelo BrdoDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: NK BSK Bijelo Brdo won 0-2.
Story
HNK Vukovar 91 vs NK BSK Bijelo Brdo: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
63' — NK BSK Bijelo Brdo took the lead: 0-1. 77' — NK BSK Bijelo Brdo extended the lead: 0-2. NK BSK Bijelo Brdo won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
HNK Vukovar 91DrawNK BSK Bijelo Brdo
Pre-match model estimate: HNK Vukovar 91 44%, draw 27%, NK BSK Bijelo Brdo 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): HNK Vukovar 91 win in 44% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and NK BSK Bijelo Brdo win 29%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between HNK Vukovar 91 and NK BSK Bijelo Brdo.
NK BSK Bijelo Brdo took the lead on 63 minutes. NK BSK Bijelo Brdo extended their lead to 2-0 on 77 minutes.
What the numbers say
On target it was 2-3, from 8 and 6 attempts respectively. Corners finished 4-4.
What the result means
HNK Vukovar 91 remain 14th, now with 11 points. NK BSK Bijelo Brdo climb from 5th to 3rd on 17 points. NK BSK Bijelo Brdo beat HNK Vukovar 91 for the first time since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
