Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Hapoel Kfar Saba beat Hapoel Afula FC 2-0 in Liga Leumit.
In our records Hapoel Kfar Saba and Hapoel Afula FC have met 10 times: Hapoel Kfar Saba won 4, 3 ended level and Hapoel Afula FC won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Hapoel Kfar Saba 3-1 Hapoel Afula FC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Hapoel Kfar Saba won 2-0.
Story
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula FC: the story of the match
4' — Hapoel Kfar Saba took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
83' — Hapoel Kfar Saba extended the lead: 2-0. Hapoel Kfar Saba won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Hapoel Kfar SabaDrawHapoel Afula FC
Pre-match model estimate: Hapoel Kfar Saba 38%, draw 23%, Hapoel Afula FC 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Hapoel Kfar Saba win in 38% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Hapoel Afula FC win 39%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Hapoel Kfar Saba took the lead on 4 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Hapoel Kfar Saba in front.
Hapoel Kfar Saba extended their lead to 2-0 on 83 minutes.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Hapoel Kfar Saba to 10th with 12 points, up from 14th. Hapoel Afula FC drop from 6th to 7th on 18 points. Hapoel Kfar Saba ended Hapoel Afula FC's unbeaten run of 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
