Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Gyirmot FC Gyor beat Kispest Honved FC 3-1 in Hungarian Cup.
Venue: Alcufer Stadion.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Gyirmot FC Gyor won 3-1.
Story
Gyirmot FC Gyor vs Kispest Honved FC: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 5' — Gyirmot FC Gyor took the lead: 1-0. 42' — Kispest Honved FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with Kispest Honved FC applying more of the pressure.
56' — Gyirmot FC Gyor went back in front: 2-1. 78' — Gyirmot FC Gyor extended the lead: 3-1. After 46' the momentum swung to Gyirmot FC Gyor. Gyirmot FC Gyor won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Gyirmot FC GyorDrawKispest Honved FC
Pre-match model estimate: Gyirmot FC Gyor 30%, draw 23%, Kispest Honved FC 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Gyirmot FC GyorKispest Honved FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3122
Last 15 min378
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Gyirmot FC Gyor win in 30% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Kispest Honved FC win 47%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Gyirmot FC Gyor took the lead on 5 minutes. Kispest Honved FC drew level at 1-1 on 42 minutes. It was Gyirmot FC Gyor 1-1 Kispest Honved FC at half-time; Kispest Honved FC had the better of the pressure.
Gyirmot FC Gyor took over after the 46th minute, pinning Kispest Honved FC back. Gyirmot FC Gyor went 2-1 up on 56 minutes. Gyirmot FC Gyor extended their lead to 3-1 on 78 minutes.
What the numbers say
Gyirmot FC Gyor had 7 shots (7 on target) to Kispest Honved FC's 4 (3).
What the result means
Gyirmot FC Gyor extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
Next fixtures
Kispest Honved FC's next match is at home against Kisvarda Master Good on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Hungarian Cup
