Goias EC vs AA Ponte Preta: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
90' — Goias EC took the lead: 1-0. It came in the closing minutes. Goias EC won 1-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Goias ECDrawAA Ponte Preta
Pre-match model estimate: Goias EC 89%, draw 8%, AA Ponte Preta 3%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Goias EC win in 89% of the simulated matches, 8% end level and AA Ponte Preta win 3%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 36%. About 11.8 corners on average. About 5.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Goias EC had 15 shots (3 on target) to AA Ponte Preta's 6 (3). Goias EC won 10 corners, AA Ponte Preta 4. Goias EC produced 83 dangerous attacks to AA Ponte Preta's 42.
The bigger picture
Goias EC stay 7th on 58 points. AA Ponte Preta remain 20th, now with 15 points. Goias EC extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. AA Ponte Preta have now gone 8 matches without a win.
Coming up
Goias EC visit Sport Recife next, on 14 November in the Brasileiro Serie B. Next up for AA Ponte Preta: home to Operario Ferroviario EC on Thursday 12 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Brasileiro Serie B
