47' — A. Ntoi of Rio Ave was sent off. 87' — Gil Vicente took the lead: 1-0. H. Hernandez scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Gil Vicente won 1-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Gil VicenteDrawRio Ave
Pre-match model estimate: Gil Vicente 55%, draw 28%, Rio Ave 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Gil Vicente left it late to beat Rio Ave1-0, with H. Hernandez the match-winner. The half-time score was 0-0.
The story of the match
It was Gil Vicente 0-0 Rio Ave at half-time.
A. Ntoi saw a straight red card in the 47th minute, leaving Rio Ave short-handed. Gil Vicente took the lead on 87 minutes thanks to H. Hernandez from the penalty spot.
What it means
It is Gil Vicente's first win over Rio Ave in the last 4 meetings on record.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
