GD Nazarenos vs Sertanense FC, 01/11/2026 15:00 – live score
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- GD NazarenosWLLL
- Sertanense FCDDDDUnbeaten in 4 matches
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
GD Nazarenos and Sertanense FC meet on in Campeonato de Portugal – Group C.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Sertanense FC (51%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
GD Nazarenos vs Sertanense FC: preview
GD Nazarenos have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches. Sertanense FC have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches. Sertanense FC are unbeaten in 4 matches.
Our pre-match model estimate: GD Nazarenos 24%, draw 25%, Sertanense FC 51%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): GD Nazarenos win in 24% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Sertanense FC win 51%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 50%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

