27' — FC Vizela took the lead: 0-1. M. Lacava scored it. Half time: 0-1.
85' — GD Chaves equalised: 1-1. J. Mendes scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — GD Chaves completed the turnaround: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. GD Chaves won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GD ChavesDrawFC Vizela
Pre-match model estimate: GD Chaves 39%, draw 28%, FC Vizela 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): GD Chaves win in 39% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and FC Vizela win 33%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
GD Chaves – FC Vizela match report
Updated:
FC Vizela let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to GD Chaves at Estádio Engenheiro Branco Teixeira.
How the match unfolded
FC Vizela took the lead on 27 minutes thanks to M. Lacava. Half-time: 0-1, FC Vizela in front.
Late on, in the 85th minute, GD Chaves drew level at 1-1 through J. Mendes. VAR checked and confirmed the GD Chaves goal on 86 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (90') GD Chaves completed the turnaround at 2-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 9-1, from 13 and 1 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-0. 10 saves came from the FC Vizela goalkeeper. GD Chaves produced 128 dangerous attacks to FC Vizela's 69.
The bigger picture
The result lifts GD Chaves to 14th with 8 points, up from 17th. FC Vizela drop from 8th to 10th on 11 points.
Liga Portugal 2
