Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Galatasaray U19 beat Fenerbahce U19 3-1 in U19 League.
Match decisions & VAR
50'Penalty awardedFenerbahce U19Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Galatasaray U19 won 3-1.
Story
Galatasaray U19 vs Fenerbahce U19: the story of the match
22' — Fenerbahce U19 took the lead: 0-1. 30' — Galatasaray U19 equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
71' — Galatasaray U19 completed the turnaround: 2-1. 77' — Galatasaray U19 extended the lead: 3-1. Galatasaray U19 won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Galatasaray U19DrawFenerbahce U19
Pre-match model estimate: Galatasaray U19 55%, draw 21%, Fenerbahce U19 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Galatasaray U19 win in 55% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Fenerbahce U19 win 24%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 65%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
