31' — GAIS took the lead: 1-0. Nikola Vasic scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
72' — IFK Goteborg equalised: 1-1. Sam Larsson scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GAISDrawIFK Goteborg
Pre-match model estimate: GAIS 44%, draw 25%, IFK Goteborg 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): GAIS win in 44% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and IFK Goteborg win 31%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 10.2 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
GAIS – IFK Goteborg match report
Updated:
It finished 1-1 between GAIS and IFK Goteborg at Gamla Ullevi. It was 1-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Nikola Vasic opened the scoring for GAIS after 31 minutes. The officials disallowed a GAIS goal on 33 minutes. GAIS led 1-0 at the break.
IFK Goteborg drew level at 1-1 in the 72nd minute: Sam Larsson. IFK Goteborg had a goal ruled out in the 73rd minute.
The statistics
On target it was 3-4, from 7 and 9 attempts respectively. Corners finished 8-6. Dangerous attacks: 296 for IFK Goteborg, 215 for GAIS.
What it means
GAIS slip to 11th (31 points), having started the day 10th. IFK Goteborg drop from 8th to 9th on 37 points. IFK Goteborg have now scored in 10 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for GAIS, 2 wins for IFK Goteborg and 5 draws.
Allsvenskan
