1' — Chelsea took the lead: 0-1. Joao Pedro scored it. 23' — Fulham equalised: 1-1. J. King scored it. 41' — Chelsea went back in front: 1-2. M. Rogers scored it. Half time: 1-2.
49' — Chelsea extended the lead: 1-3. C. Palmer scored it. 54' — Fulham pulled one back: 2-3. G. Garcia scored it. Chelsea won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FulhamDrawChelsea
Pre-match model estimate: Fulham 30%, draw 29%, Chelsea 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chelsea got the better of Fulham, winning 3-2 at Craven Cottage. It was 1-2 at half-time.
The story of the match
Chelsea took the lead in the 1st minute: Joao Pedro, set up by C. Palmer. J. King equalised for Fulham at 1-1 after 23 minutes, set up by T. Castagne. Chelsea went 2-1 up in the 41st minute: M. Rogers, set up by M. Lacroix. It was Fulham 1-2 Chelsea at half-time.
Chelsea extended their lead to 3-1 on 49 minutes thanks to C. Palmer, set up by Joao Pedro. Fulham pulled one back to make it 2-3 in the 54th minute: G. Garcia.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English Premier League
