Forest Green Rovers vs Hartlepool United: the story of the match
45' — Hartlepool United took the lead: 0-1. Nathan Sheron scored it. Half time: 0-1.
48' — Hartlepool United extended the lead: 0-2. Jordan Hugill scored from the penalty spot. 57' — Hartlepool United extended the lead: 0-3. Jordan Hugill scored it. 65' — Forest Green Rovers pulled one back: 1-3. Omari Patrick scored it. 70' — Forest Green Rovers pulled one back: 2-3. Kyle McAllister scored from the penalty spot. 88' — Hartlepool United extended the lead: 2-4. Nathan Sheron scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Hartlepool United won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Forest Green RoversDrawHartlepool United
Pre-match model estimate: Forest Green Rovers 58%, draw 25%, Hartlepool United 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Forest Green Rovers – Hartlepool United match report
Hartlepool United took the lead in the 45th minute: Nathan Sheron. Hartlepool United led 1-0 at the break.
Jordan Hugill made it 2-0 for Hartlepool United after 48 minutes. Hartlepool United extended their lead to 3-0 on 57 minutes thanks to Jordan Hugill. Omari Patrick reduced the deficit for Forest Green Rovers to 1-3 after 65 minutes. Just 5 minutes later (70') Forest Green Rovers pulled one back to make it 2-3, Kyle McAllister from the penalty spot on target. Late on, in the 88th minute, Hartlepool United extended their lead to 4-2 through Nathan Sheron.
The statistics
On target it was 4-3, from 11 and 7 attempts respectively. Forest Green Rovers won 8 corners, Hartlepool United 5. Forest Green Rovers produced 302 dangerous attacks to Hartlepool United's 175.
What the result means
Forest Green Rovers have now gone 5 matches without a win. Hartlepool United end a run of 7 straight defeats.
Coming up
Forest Green Rovers' next match is at home against Eastleigh FC on 28 October. Hartlepool United visit Boreham Wood FC next, on 31 October in the National League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League
