Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Zabbar St. Patrick FC beat Floriana 2-1 in VBET Malta Premier.
Venue: Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Referee: E. Grech.
In our records Floriana and Zabbar St. Patrick FC have met 4 times: Floriana won 4, 0 ended level and Zabbar St. Patrick FC won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Zabbar St. Patrick FC 0-3 Floriana.
Match decisions & VAR
93'Goal disallowedZabbar St. Patrick FCDecision · Score 1-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Zabbar St. Patrick FC won 1-2.
Story
Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick FC: the story of the match
8' — Zabbar St. Patrick FC took the lead: 0-1. 23' — Floriana equalised: 1-1. 45' — Zabbar St. Patrick FC went back in front: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
Zabbar St. Patrick FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FlorianaDrawZabbar St. Patrick FC
Pre-match model estimate: Floriana 66%, draw 19%, Zabbar St. Patrick FC 15%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Floriana win in 66% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Zabbar St. Patrick FC win 15%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Zabbar St. Patrick FC took the lead on 8 minutes. Floriana drew level at 1-1 on 23 minutes. Zabbar St. Patrick FC went 2-1 up on 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-2, Zabbar St. Patrick FC in front.
The officials disallowed a Zabbar St. Patrick FC goal on 93 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 9-3.
What it means
Floriana remain 4th, now with 16 points. Zabbar St. Patrick FC stay 10th on 11 points. Floriana's 4-match unbeaten run is over. Zabbar St. Patrick FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Zabbar St. Patrick FC had not beaten Floriana in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
