Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Arys beat FK Zhayik Uralsk 2-1 in 1. Division.
Match decisions & VAR
61'Penalty awardedFK Zhayik UralskDecision
84'Penalty awardedFC ArysDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Arys won 1-2.
Story
FK Zhayik Uralsk vs FC Arys: the story of the match
1' — FC Arys took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
61' — FK Zhayik Uralsk equalised: 1-1. 90' — FC Arys went back in front: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. FC Arys won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Zhayik UralskDrawFC Arys
Pre-match model estimate: FK Zhayik Uralsk 39%, draw 26%, FC Arys 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Zhayik Uralsk win in 39% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and FC Arys win 35%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Arys took the lead on 1 minutes. It was FK Zhayik Uralsk 0-1 FC Arys at half-time.
FK Zhayik Uralsk drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes. FC Arys went 2-1 up on 90 minutes.
The bigger picture
FK Zhayik Uralsk slip to 8th (32 points), having started the day 7th. FC Arys climb from 8th to 7th on 33 points. The wait for a win goes on for FK Zhayik Uralsk: 5 matches now. That is 6 straight wins for FC Arys.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
