Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Transinvest won 2-0.
Story
FK Transinvest vs FC Hegelmann: the story of the match
4' — FK Transinvest took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
92' — FK Transinvest extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. FK Transinvest won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK TransinvestDrawFC Hegelmann
Pre-match model estimate: FK Transinvest 70%, draw 17%, FC Hegelmann 13%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Transinvest win in 70% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and FC Hegelmann win 13%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Transinvest took the lead on 4 minutes. FK Transinvest led 1-0 at the break.
Late on, in the 92nd minute, FK Transinvest extended their lead to 2-0. FK Transinvest had a goal ruled out in the 93rd minute.
Match statistics
The shot count read 7-2, 3-1 on target. FK Transinvest produced 171 dangerous attacks to FC Hegelmann's 135.
What it means
FK Transinvest stay 4th on 49 points. FC Hegelmann remain 8th, now with 26 points. FK Transinvest extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. FC Hegelmann have now gone 9 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
FC Hegelmann host FK Kauno Zalgiris next, on 31 October in the TOPLYGA.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
TOPLYGA
