Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Kukesi won 2-0.
Story
FK Kukesi vs KS Sopoti Librazhd: the story of the match
43' — FK Kukesi took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
65' — FK Kukesi extended the lead: 2-0. FK Kukesi won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK KukesiDrawKS Sopoti Librazhd
Pre-match model estimate: FK Kukesi 64%, draw 20%, KS Sopoti Librazhd 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Kukesi win in 64% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and KS Sopoti Librazhd win 16%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
