FK Kauno Zalgiris vs SK Brann: the story of the match
7' — SK Brann took the lead: 0-1. Niklas Castro scored from the penalty spot. 12' — FK Kauno Zalgiris equalised: 1-1. Renan Oliveira scored it. 25' — SK Brann went back in front: 1-2. Noah Holm scored it. 40' — SK Brann extended the lead: 1-3. Noah Holm scored it. Half time: 1-3.
86' — SK Brann extended the lead: 1-4. Noah Holm scored it. It came in the closing minutes. SK Brann won 1-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Kauno ZalgirisDrawSK Brann
Pre-match model estimate: FK Kauno Zalgiris 23%, draw 23%, SK Brann 54%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Kauno Zalgiris win in 23% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and SK Brann win 54%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Kauno Zalgiris – SK Brann match report
Updated:
A 4-1 rout: SK Brann swept FK Kauno Zalgiris aside at National Football Academy. Noah Holm was the star with 3 goals for SK Brann. The half-time score was 1-3.
How the match unfolded
SK Brann took the lead on 7 minutes thanks to Niklas Castro from the penalty spot. FK Kauno Zalgiris drew level at 1-1 on 12 minutes thanks to Renan Oliveira. SK Brann went 2-1 up on 25 minutes thanks to Noah Holm, set up by Joachim Soltvedt. SK Brann extended their lead to 3-1 in the 40th minute: Noah Holm, set up by Eggert Aron Gudmundsson. Half-time: 1-3, SK Brann in front.
SK Brann extended their lead to 4-1 in the 86th minute: Noah Holm.
What the numbers say
On target it was 1-5, from 1 and 7 attempts respectively. 5 saves came from the FK Kauno Zalgiris goalkeeper. SK Brann produced 358 dangerous attacks to FK Kauno Zalgiris' 210.
What it means
FK Kauno Zalgiris stay 36th on 0 points. The result lifts SK Brann to 3rd with 6 points, up from 10th.
Coming up
FK Kauno Zalgiris' next match is away to FC Hegelmann on 31 October. SK Brann visit Grorud IL next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
