Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FK Spartak Subotica beat FK Graficar Beograd 2-0 in 1. League.
Venue: Stadion Rajko Mit.
Match decisions & VAR
82'Red cardFK Spartak SuboticaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Spartak Subotica won 0-2.
Story
FK Graficar Beograd vs FK Spartak Subotica: the story of the match
32' — FK Spartak Subotica took the lead: 0-1. 41' — FK Spartak Subotica extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
82' — FK Spartak Subotica had a player sent off. FK Spartak Subotica won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Graficar BeogradDrawFK Spartak Subotica
Pre-match model estimate: FK Graficar Beograd 43%, draw 25%, FK Spartak Subotica 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Graficar Beograd win in 43% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and FK Spartak Subotica win 32%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Graficar Beograd – FK Spartak Subotica match report
FK Spartak Subotica took the lead on 32 minutes. FK Spartak Subotica extended their lead to 2-0 on 41 minutes. It was FK Graficar Beograd 0-2 FK Spartak Subotica at half-time.
FK Spartak Subotica were a man down from the 82nd minute.
The statistics
FK Graficar Beograd won 4 corners, FK Spartak Subotica 4.
What it means
FK Graficar Beograd drop from 14th to 15th on 11 points. The result lifts FK Spartak Subotica to 10th with 19 points, up from 11th. FK Graficar Beograd have now gone 4 matches without a win. FK Spartak Subotica end a run of 6 matches without a win.
What’s next
FK Graficar Beograd's next match is at home against FK IMT Novi Beograd on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
