Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FK Decic beat OFK Mladost DG 2-0 in First League.
Venue: Tusko.
In our records FK Decic and OFK Mladost DG have met 5 times: FK Decic won 2, 0 ended level and OFK Mladost DG won 3.
Their latest meeting (): OFK Mladost DG 2-0 FK Decic.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Decic won 2-0.
Story
FK Decic vs OFK Mladost DG: the story of the match
FK Decic started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 28' — FK Decic took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with FK Decic applying more of the pressure.
66' — FK Decic extended the lead: 2-0. After 46' the momentum swung to OFK Mladost DG. FK Decic won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK DecicDrawOFK Mladost DG
Pre-match model estimate: FK Decic 60%, draw 23%, OFK Mladost DG 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FK DecicOFK Mladost DG
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2253
Last 15 min6054
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Decic win in 60% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and OFK Mladost DG win 17%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 43%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
First League
