Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FK Zalgiris beat FK Banga 2-1 in TopLyga.
Venue: Gargzdai stadium.
In our records FK Banga and FK Zalgiris have met 10 times: FK Banga won 3, 3 ended level and FK Zalgiris won 4.
Their latest meeting (): FK Zalgiris 2-3 FK Banga.
Match details
Venue
Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Zalgiris won 1-2.
Story
FK Banga vs FK Zalgiris: the story of the match
29' — FK Zalgiris took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
53' — FK Banga equalised: 1-1. 75' — FK Zalgiris went back in front: 1-2. FK Zalgiris won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK BangaDrawFK Zalgiris
Pre-match model estimate: FK Banga 24%, draw 23%, FK Zalgiris 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Banga win in 24% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and FK Zalgiris win 53%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Banga went down 2-1 to FK Zalgiris in the TopLyga. The half-time score was 0-1.
How the match unfolded
FK Zalgiris took the lead on 29 minutes. FK Zalgiris led 1-0 at the break.
FK Banga drew level at 1-1 on 53 minutes. FK Zalgiris went 2-1 up on 75 minutes.
The statistics
FK Banga had 9 shots (6 on target) to FK Zalgiris' 5 (4). FK Banga won 6 corners, FK Zalgiris 3. FK Banga produced 47 dangerous attacks to FK Zalgiris' 30.
What the result means
FK Banga stay 5th on 42 points. FK Zalgiris remain 3rd, now with 54 points. FK Banga have now gone 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
