Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest FC: the story of the match
15' — Ferencvarosi TC took the lead: 1-0. H. Maïga scored it. 17' — Ferencvarosi TC extended the lead: 2-0. H. Maïga scored it. 20' — Ferencvarosi TC extended the lead: 3-0. B. Yusuf scored it. Half time: 3-0.
52' — Ferencvarosi TC extended the lead: 4-0. K. Zachariassen scored from the penalty spot. 68' — Ferencvarosi TC extended the lead: 5-0. M. Corbu scored it. Ferencvarosi TC won 5-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ferencvarosi TCDrawMTK Budapest FC
Pre-match model estimate: Ferencvarosi TC 72%, draw 16%, MTK Budapest FC 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ferencvarosi TC win in 72% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and MTK Budapest FC win 12%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ferencvarosi TC took the lead in the 15th minute: H. Maïga, set up by Cadu. Ferencvarosi TC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 17th minute: H. Maïga, set up by V. Birmančević. Ferencvarosi TC extended their lead to 3-0 in the 20th minute: B. Yusuf, set up by A. Osváth. It was Ferencvarosi TC 3-0 MTK Budapest FC at half-time.
K. Zachariassen made it 4-0 for Ferencvarosi TC after 52 minutes. Ferencvarosi TC extended their lead to 5-0 on 68 minutes thanks to M. Corbu, set up by K. Zachariassen.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 9-1. Ferencvarosi TC produced 72 dangerous attacks to MTK Budapest FC's 25.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Ferencvarosi TC to 3rd with 17 points, up from 5th. MTK Budapest FC drop from 8th to 9th on 12 points. Ferencvarosi TC extend their unbeaten run to 12 matches.
What’s next
Ferencvarosi TC's next match is away to Bicskei TC on 28 October. MTK Budapest FC visit Monori SE next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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