Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
FC Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905: the story of the match
2' — FC Zbrojovka Brno took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
49' — Bohemians 1905 equalised: 1-1. 74' — FC Zbrojovka Brno went back in front: 2-1. 83' — Bohemians 1905 equalised: 2-2. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Zbrojovka BrnoDrawBohemians 1905
Pre-match model estimate: FC Zbrojovka Brno 43%, draw 26%, Bohemians 1905 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Zbrojovka Brno win in 43% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Bohemians 1905 win 31%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Zbrojovka Brno took the lead on 2 minutes. FC Zbrojovka Brno led 1-0 at the break.
Bohemians 1905 drew level at 1-1 on 49 minutes. Bohemians 1905 had a goal ruled out in the 55th minute. FC Zbrojovka Brno went 2-1 up on 74 minutes. Bohemians 1905 drew level at 2-2 on 83 minutes. Bohemians 1905 had a goal ruled out.
What the numbers say
On target it was 5-4, from 7 and 8 attempts respectively. FC Zbrojovka Brno won 9 corners, Bohemians 1905 5. Bohemians 1905 produced 262 dangerous attacks to FC Zbrojovka Brno's 162.
What it means
FC Zbrojovka Brno drop from 6th to 7th on 20 points. Bohemians 1905 stay 10th on 16 points. The result ends Bohemians 1905's run of 3 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for FC Zbrojovka Brno, 4 wins for Bohemians 1905 and 5 draws.
What’s next
FC Zbrojovka Brno visit SK Sigma Olomouc next, on 31 October in the First League. Next up for Bohemians 1905: away at FK Mlada Boleslav on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
First League
