FC Viktoria Plzen vs FK Pardubice: the story of the match
22' — FK Pardubice took the lead: 0-1. S. Ďatko scored it. 39' — FK Pardubice extended the lead: 0-2. An own goal by C. Kabongo. Half time: 0-2.
49' — FC Viktoria Plzen pulled one back: 1-2. A. Memić scored it. FK Pardubice won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Viktoria PlzenDrawFK Pardubice
Pre-match model estimate: FC Viktoria Plzen 62%, draw 20%, FK Pardubice 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Viktoria Plzen win in 62% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and FK Pardubice win 18%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 56%. About 10.1 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Pardubice took the lead on 22 minutes thanks to S. Ďatko. FK Pardubice extended their lead to 2-0 on 39 minutes thanks to an own goal from C. Kabongo. It was FC Viktoria Plzen 0-2 FK Pardubice at half-time.
FC Viktoria Plzen pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 49th minute: A. Memić, set up by Merchas Doski.
Match statistics
FC Viktoria Plzen had 19 shots (4 on target) to FK Pardubice's 15 (3). FC Viktoria Plzen won 5 corners, FK Pardubice 9. FC Viktoria Plzen produced 218 dangerous attacks to FK Pardubice's 143.
What it means
FC Viktoria Plzen stay 9th on 16 points. FK Pardubice remain 12th, now with 14 points. FC Viktoria Plzen have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
FC Viktoria Plzen visit FC Vysocina Jihlava next, on 28 October. Next up for FK Pardubice: away at 1.FC Slovacko on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.