Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Urartu won 3-2.
Story
FC Urartu vs FC Andranik: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 17' — FC Andranik took the lead: 0-1. 25' — FC Urartu equalised: 1-1. 31' — FC Urartu completed the turnaround: 2-1. 39' — FC Andranik equalised: 2-2. Half time: 2-2, with FC Urartu applying more of the pressure.
84' — FC Urartu completed the turnaround: 3-2. FC Urartu won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC UrartuDrawFC Andranik
Pre-match model estimate: FC Urartu 70%, draw 17%, FC Andranik 13%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC UrartuFC Andranik
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min5822
Last 15 min5112
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Urartu win in 70% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and FC Andranik win 13%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Andranik took the lead on 17 minutes. FC Urartu drew level at 1-1 on 25 minutes. FC Urartu completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 31 minutes. FC Andranik drew level at 2-2 on 39 minutes. The first half ended 2-2, with FC Urartu the side applying more pressure.
FC Urartu had a goal ruled out in the 75th minute after a VAR review. VAR awarded FC Urartu a penalty in the 83rd minute. Just 1 minutes later (84') FC Urartu completed the turnaround at 3-2.
The statistics
Corners finished 7-0. FC Urartu produced 51 dangerous attacks to FC Andranik's 18.
What it means
FC Urartu extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. The result ends FC Andranik's run of 3 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
