86' — FC Sudtirol took the lead: 1-0. Rareș Burnete scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 89' — FC Sudtirol extended the lead: 2-0. Kenny Mixtur scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Sudtirol won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC SudtirolDrawCatanzaro
Pre-match model estimate: FC Sudtirol 42%, draw 29%, Catanzaro 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Late on, in the 86th minute, FC Sudtirol took the lead through Rareș Burnete, set up by Fabio Rispoli. FC Sudtirol extended their lead to 2-0 in the 89th minute: Kenny Mixtur, set up by Kevin Zeroli.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Catanzaro: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
