Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Pyunik beat FC Ararat Yerevan 6-2 in Armenian Cup.
Match decisions & VAR
58'Goal standsFC PyunikVAR review · goalDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Pyunik won 6-2.
Story
FC Pyunik vs FC Ararat Yerevan: the story of the match
FC Pyunik started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 4' — FC Pyunik took the lead: 1-0. 20' — FC Pyunik extended the lead: 2-0. 32' — FC Pyunik extended the lead: 3-0. Half time: 3-0, with FC Pyunik applying more of the pressure.
55' — FC Pyunik extended the lead: 4-0. 57' — FC Pyunik extended the lead: 5-0. 62' — FC Ararat Yerevan pulled one back: 5-1. 70' — FC Pyunik extended the lead: 6-1. 81' — FC Ararat Yerevan pulled one back: 6-2. After 61' the momentum swung to FC Ararat Yerevan. After 76' the momentum swung to FC Pyunik. FC Pyunik won 6-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC PyunikDrawFC Ararat Yerevan
Pre-match model estimate: FC Pyunik 76%, draw 16%, FC Ararat Yerevan 8%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC PyunikFC Ararat Yerevan
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6322
Last 15 min6022
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Pyunik win in 76% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and FC Ararat Yerevan win 8%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 43%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Pyunik started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. FC Pyunik took the lead on 4 minutes. FC Pyunik extended their lead to 2-0 on 20 minutes. FC Pyunik extended their lead to 3-0 on 32 minutes. It was FC Pyunik 3-0 FC Ararat Yerevan at half-time; FC Pyunik had the better of the pressure.
FC Pyunik extended their lead to 4-0 on 55 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (57') FC Pyunik extended their lead to 5-0. A FC Pyunik goal stood after a VAR check in the 58th minute. From the 61st minute the pressure shifted towards FC Ararat Yerevan. Just 4 minutes later (62') FC Ararat Yerevan pulled one back to make it 5-1.
FC Pyunik extended their lead to 6-1 on 70 minutes. FC Pyunik took over after the 76th minute, pinning FC Ararat Yerevan back. FC Ararat Yerevan pulled one back to make it 6-2 on 81 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 5-3. Dangerous attacks: 57 for FC Pyunik, 40 for FC Ararat Yerevan.
What it means
FC Pyunik are now unbeaten in 12 matches. The wait for a win goes on for FC Ararat Yerevan: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
