Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Petrzalka won 2-1.
Story
FC Petrzalka vs MSK Zilina B: the story of the match
8' — FC Petrzalka took the lead: 1-0. 22' — MSK Zilina B equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
59' — FC Petrzalka went back in front: 2-1. 83' — MSK Zilina B had a player sent off. FC Petrzalka won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC PetrzalkaDrawMSK Zilina B
Pre-match model estimate: FC Petrzalka 66%, draw 20%, MSK Zilina B 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Petrzalka win in 66% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and MSK Zilina B win 14%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Petrzalka took the lead on 8 minutes. FC Petrzalka had a goal ruled out in the 10th minute. MSK Zilina B drew level at 1-1 on 22 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between FC Petrzalka and MSK Zilina B.
FC Petrzalka went 2-1 up on 59 minutes. MSK Zilina B had a player sent off on 83 minutes.
What the numbers say
FC Petrzalka won 10 corners, MSK Zilina B 4. FC Petrzalka produced 58 dangerous attacks to MSK Zilina B's 38.
What the result means
FC Petrzalka stay 2nd on 33 points. MSK Zilina B drop from 6th to 9th on 24 points. FC Petrzalka end a run of 5 matches without a win. MSK Zilina B have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
What’s next
FC Petrzalka's next match is away to FO Bytca on 14 November. MSK Zilina B host FK Inter Bratislava next, on 15 November in the 2.Liga.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.