Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Dinamo Brest won 1-4.
Story
FC Neman Grodno vs FC Dinamo Brest: the story of the match
28' — FC Dinamo Brest took the lead: 0-1. 34' — FC Dinamo Brest extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
61' — FC Dinamo Brest extended the lead: 0-3. 69' — FC Neman Grodno pulled one back: 1-3. 85' — FC Dinamo Brest extended the lead: 1-4. It came in the closing minutes. FC Dinamo Brest won 1-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Neman GrodnoDrawFC Dinamo Brest
Pre-match model estimate: FC Neman Grodno 42%, draw 27%, FC Dinamo Brest 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Neman Grodno win in 42% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and FC Dinamo Brest win 31%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Dinamo Brest took the lead on 28 minutes. FC Dinamo Brest extended their lead to 2-0 on 34 minutes. FC Dinamo Brest led 2-0 at the break.
FC Dinamo Brest extended their lead to 3-0 on 61 minutes. FC Dinamo Brest had a goal ruled out in the 69th minute. FC Neman Grodno pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 69 minutes. The officials disallowed a FC Dinamo Brest goal on 81 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (85') FC Dinamo Brest extended their lead to 4-1.
FC Dinamo Brest had a goal ruled out.
Match statistics
FC Neman Grodno won 5 corners, FC Dinamo Brest 6. FC Neman Grodno produced 69 dangerous attacks to FC Dinamo Brest's 47.
What the result means
FC Neman Grodno stay 5th on 43 points. FC Dinamo Brest remain 4th, now with 47 points. FC Dinamo Brest extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Vysshaya League
