FC Motherwell vs St Mirren FC, 31/10/2026 15:00 – live score
Scotland
Scottish Premiership Round 12
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- FC MotherwellLLLLL6 defeats in a row
- St Mirren FCWLLLL
Recent meetings
More- Scottish PremiershipSt Mirren FC3 - 3FC Motherwell
Scottish Premiership
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Dundee | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | St Mirren FC | 10 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk FC | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Aberdeen | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Motherwell | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Kilmarnock | 10 | -13 | 8 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
FC Motherwell and St Mirren FC meet on in Scottish Premiership.
Venue: Fir Park.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards FC Motherwell (55%).
Why it matters: St Mirren FC are chasing the Conference League places.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
FC Motherwell vs St Mirren FC: preview
FC Motherwell have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. FC Motherwell have lost 6 matches in a row. 7 of FC Motherwell's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. St Mirren FC have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 7 of St Mirren FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
FC Motherwell are in position 10 with 8 points, St Mirren FC in position 6 with 13 points. A win could lift FC Motherwell as high as position 9. A win could lift St Mirren FC as high as position 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: FC Motherwell 55%, draw 22%, St Mirren FC 23%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 9.
- A draw is enough to stay out of the danger zone.
- A defeat can drop them into the danger zone (Relegation play-off).
- A win can take them into the Conference League places.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): FC Motherwell win in 55% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and St Mirren FC win 23%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
