FC Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian FC: the story of the match
29' — Heart of Midlothian FC took the lead: 0-1. Cláudio Braga scored it. Half time: 0-1.
86' — Heart of Midlothian FC extended the lead: 0-2. Calvin Miller scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Heart of Midlothian FC won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC MotherwellDrawHeart of Midlothian FC
Pre-match model estimate: FC Motherwell 30%, draw 24%, Heart of Midlothian FC 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Motherwell win in 30% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Heart of Midlothian FC win 46%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Motherwell – Heart of Midlothian FC match report
Heart of Midlothian FC took the lead on 29 minutes thanks to Cláudio Braga. Half-time: 0-1, Heart of Midlothian FC in front.
Heart of Midlothian FC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 86th minute: Calvin Miller.
The statistics
FC Motherwell had 11 shots (6 on target) to Heart of Midlothian FC's 10 (5). FC Motherwell won 6 corners, Heart of Midlothian FC 5.
What it means
FC Motherwell stay 10th on 8 points. Heart of Midlothian FC remain 3rd, now with 19 points. It is now 6 straight defeats for FC Motherwell. Heart of Midlothian FC end a run of 3 matches without a win.
Scottish Premiership
