Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Baranovichi beat FC Minsk 3-1 in Vysshaya Liga.
Venue: FC Minsk Stadium.
Match decisions & VAR
87'Penalty awardedFC BaranovichiDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Baranovichi won 1-3.
Story
FC Minsk vs FC Baranovichi: the story of the match
42' — FC Baranovichi took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
46' — FC Baranovichi extended the lead: 0-2. 68' — FC Minsk pulled one back: 1-2. 88' — FC Baranovichi extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. FC Baranovichi won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC MinskDrawFC Baranovichi
Pre-match model estimate: FC Minsk 45%, draw 26%, FC Baranovichi 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Minsk win in 45% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and FC Baranovichi win 29%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Baranovichi took the lead on 42 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, FC Baranovichi in front.
Just 4 minutes later (46') FC Baranovichi extended their lead to 2-0. FC Minsk pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 68 minutes. Late on, in the 88th minute, FC Baranovichi extended their lead to 3-1.
Match statistics
FC Minsk won 3 corners, FC Baranovichi 7. FC Baranovichi produced 64 dangerous attacks to FC Minsk's 43.
The bigger picture
FC Minsk stay 8th on 34 points. FC Baranovichi remain 11th, now with 28 points. FC Minsk have now gone 5 matches without a win. FC Baranovichi end a run of 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.