FC Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: the story of the match
6' — Panathinaikos took the lead: 0-1. Vicente Taborda scored it. 24' — Panathinaikos extended the lead: 0-2. Cyriel Dessers scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-2.
47' — Panathinaikos extended the lead: 0-3. Cyriel Dessers scored it. 57' — Panathinaikos extended the lead: 0-4. Kings Kangwa scored it. 75' — Panathinaikos extended the lead: 0-5. Elmin Rastoder scored it. 79' — FC Kairat Almaty pulled one back: 1-5. Ismail Bekbolat scored it. Panathinaikos won 1-5.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Kairat AlmatyDrawPanathinaikos
Pre-match model estimate: FC Kairat Almaty 20%, draw 22%, Panathinaikos 58%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Kairat Almaty win in 20% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Panathinaikos win 58%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Panathinaikos took the lead on 6 minutes thanks to Vicente Taborda, set up by Georgios Kyriakopoulos. Panathinaikos extended their lead to 2-0 in the 24th minute: Cyriel Dessers from the penalty spot. VAR disallowed a Panathinaikos goal on 30 minutes. It was FC Kairat Almaty 0-2 Panathinaikos at half-time.
Cyriel Dessers made it 3-0 for Panathinaikos after 47 minutes, set up by Andrews Tetteh. Panathinaikos extended their lead to 4-0 on 57 minutes thanks to Kings Kangwa. Panathinaikos extended their lead to 5-0 on 75 minutes thanks to Elmin Rastoder. FC Kairat Almaty pulled one back to make it 1-5 on 79 minutes thanks to Ismail Bekbolat, set up by Aleksandr Shirobokov.
The statistics
On target it was 2-6, from 4 and 8 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-4.
What it means
FC Kairat Almaty slip to 31st (1 point), having started the day 16th. Panathinaikos climb from 12th to 1st on 6 points. FC Kairat Almaty's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
What’s next
FC Kairat Almaty's next match is at home against Altay Oskemen on 31 October. Panathinaikos host Aris Thessaloniki next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
