One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
FC InhuletsKick-off0-0Probiy Gorodenka
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals FC Inhulets 1.5 – 1.1 Probiy Gorodenka. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 52% of the simulated matches. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
FC InhuletsProbiy Gorodenka
FC Inhulets: the stronger side on our resultsINstrong
FC Inhulets: home advantage in this competitionINstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards FC Inhulets.
Table by result
FC Inhulets10
A win can lift them as high as 8.
A defeat can drop them as low as 11.
Win8–9Draw10Loss10–11
Probiy Gorodenka14
A win can lift them as high as 13.
Win13–14Draw14Loss14
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It is 10th against 14th: FC Inhulets have 18 points, Probiy Gorodenka 11 points. Probiy Gorodenka trail FC Inhulets by 7 points.
Recent form
FC InhuletsDLWLLProbiy GorodenkaDDLDW
Over the last 5 matches, FC Inhulets have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. FC Inhulets have scored in each of their last 4 matches. FC Inhulets' recent home record reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3. FC Inhulets average 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, Probiy Gorodenka have collected 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Probiy Gorodenka have gone 4 matches without a win. On the road, Probiy Gorodenka have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 5-14. Across 10 matches, Probiy Gorodenka have scored 1.2 and let in 1.8 goals per match on average.
The history between them
The record between them over the last 4 matches reads 2-2-0 from FC Inhulets' point of view. When they last met, on 26 July 2026, it ended 2-2. Probiy Gorodenka have not beaten FC Inhulets in 4 matches.
Persha Liga
