10' — Al Qadsia SC took the lead: 0-1. H. Khabba scored it. 21' — FC Goa equalised: 1-1. Chiki scored it. Half time: 1-1.
49' — Al Qadsia SC went back in front: 1-2. H. Khabba scored it. Al Qadsia SC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC GoaDrawAl Qadsia SC
Pre-match model estimate: FC Goa 19%, draw 23%, Al Qadsia SC 58%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Goa win in 19% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Al Qadsia SC win 58%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.7 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 2-1 away win for Al Qadsia SC against FC Goa in the AFC Challenge League. H. Khabba scored twice for Al Qadsia SC. The half-time score was 1-1.
Key moments
Al Qadsia SC took the lead in the 10th minute: H. Khabba, set up by R. Al Dosary. FC Goa drew level at 1-1 on 21 minutes thanks to Chiki, set up by A. Zalaya. Al Qadsia SC had a goal ruled out in the 34th minute. It was FC Goa 1-1 Al Qadsia SC at half-time.
Al Qadsia SC went 2-1 up in the 49th minute: H. Khabba, set up by B. Al Mutawa.
Match statistics
FC Goa had 3 shots (2 on target) to Al Qadsia SC's 4 (2). FC Goa won 4 corners, Al Qadsia SC 6. Al Qadsia SC produced 158 dangerous attacks to FC Goa's 131.
The bigger picture
FC Goa have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Al Qadsia SC have now won 4 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
