8' — VVV-Venlo took the lead: 0-1. Thomas Janssen scored it. 17' — VVV-Venlo extended the lead: 0-2. Eanna Clancy scored it. 33' — VVV-Venlo extended the lead: 0-3. Ismail M'Hand scored it. Half time: 0-3.
50' — VVV-Venlo extended the lead: 0-4. Lars De Blok scored it. 56' — FC Dordrecht pulled one back: 1-4. Lorenzo Riccio scored it. 90' — FC Dordrecht pulled one back: 2-4. Rocharnio Lenz scored it. It came in the closing minutes. VVV-Venlo won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC DordrechtDrawVVV-Venlo
Pre-match model estimate: FC Dordrecht 39%, draw 23%, VVV-Venlo 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Dordrecht win in 39% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and VVV-Venlo win 38%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 64%. About 10.8 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Dordrecht – VVV-Venlo match report
Updated:
A 4-2 away win for VVV-Venlo against FC Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie. The half-time score was 0-3. 2,500 spectators were at M-Scores Stadion.
The story of the match
VVV-Venlo took the lead in the 8th minute: Thomas Janssen. VVV-Venlo extended their lead to 2-0 on 17 minutes thanks to Eanna Clancy. VVV-Venlo extended their lead to 3-0 on 33 minutes thanks to Ismail M'Hand. VVV-Venlo led 3-0 at the break.
VVV-Venlo extended their lead to 4-0 in the 50th minute: Lars De Blok. Lorenzo Riccio reduced the deficit for FC Dordrecht to 1-4 after 56 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Dordrecht pulled one back to make it 2-4 through Rocharnio Lenz.
Match statistics
FC Dordrecht won 9 corners, VVV-Venlo 2.
The bigger picture
FC Dordrecht stay 18th on 11 points. The result lifts VVV-Venlo to 2nd with 25 points, up from 3rd. VVV-Venlo extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
Next fixtures
FC Dordrecht visit SC Genemuiden next, on 28 October. Next up for VVV-Venlo: home to Vitesse Arnhem on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
