?' — Lucas Woudenberg of FC Dordrecht was sent off. Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC DordrechtDrawNAC Breda
Pre-match model estimate: FC Dordrecht 17%, draw 20%, NAC Breda 63%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Dordrecht win in 17% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and NAC Breda win 63%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Corners finished 6-2. Dangerous attacks: 98 for NAC Breda, 77 for FC Dordrecht.
What the result means
FC Dordrecht climb from 19th to 18th on 12 points. The result lifts NAC Breda to 4th with 25 points, up from 6th. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for FC Dordrecht. NAC Breda are now unbeaten in 9 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for FC Dordrecht, 5 wins for NAC Breda and 2 draws.
Next fixtures
Next up for FC Dordrecht: home to Heracles Almelo on Saturday 14 November. NAC Breda's next match is at home against Emmen on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
