FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Dinamo Minsk: the story of the match
6' — FC Dinamo Minsk took the lead: 0-1. E. Malashevich scored it. Half time: 0-1.
49' — FC Dinamo Minsk extended the lead: 0-2. An own goal by A. Mikhalenko. 53' — FC Dnepr Mogilev pulled one back: 1-2. An own goal by A. Selyava. 70' — FC Dinamo Minsk extended the lead: 1-3. E. Malashevich scored it. 81' — FC Dnepr Mogilev pulled one back: 2-3. D. Lisakovich scored it. FC Dinamo Minsk won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Dnepr MogilevDrawFC Dinamo Minsk
Pre-match model estimate: FC Dnepr Mogilev 15%, draw 27%, FC Dinamo Minsk 58%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Dinamo Minsk took the lead on 6 minutes thanks to E. Malashevich. It was FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 FC Dinamo Minsk at half-time.
FC Dinamo Minsk extended their lead to 2-0 in the 49th minute: an own goal from A. Mikhalenko. Just 4 minutes later (53') FC Dnepr Mogilev pulled one back to make it 1-2, an own goal from A. Selyava on target. E. Malashevich made it 3-1 for FC Dinamo Minsk after 70 minutes, set up by K. Vardanyan. FC Dnepr Mogilev pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 81 minutes thanks to D. Lisakovich.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 7-4. Dangerous attacks: 91 for FC Dnepr Mogilev, 53 for FC Dinamo Minsk.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for FC Dnepr Mogilev: 9 matches now.