Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
FC Crotone
D. Merelli
A. Veltri
N. Armini
G. J. Tanco
F. Groppelli
M. Zunno
F. Grosso
K. Barcella
M. Tordini
F. Crapisto
A. Musso
Salernitana
C. Galeotti
M. T. Llano Massa
D. Celiento
S. Pieraccini
A. Anastasio
I. Achik
M. Vitale
M. Tascone
L. Villa
A. La Gumina
E. D'Ursi
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: FC Crotone won 2-1.
Story
FC Crotone vs Salernitana: the story of the match
10' — FC Crotone took the lead: 1-0. A. Musso scored it. 22' — FC Crotone extended the lead: 2-0. M. Zunno scored it. 24' — Salernitana pulled one back: 2-1. L. Villa scored it. 28' — D. Merelli of FC Crotone was sent off. Half time: 2-1.
FC Crotone won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CrotoneDrawSalernitana
Pre-match model estimate: FC Crotone 37%, draw 30%, Salernitana 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Crotone took the lead in the 10th minute: A. Musso, set up by N. Armini. FC Crotone extended their lead to 2-0 in the 22nd minute: M. Zunno, set up by A. Veltri. Salernitana pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 24 minutes thanks to L. Villa. D. Merelli saw a straight red card in the 28th minute, leaving FC Crotone short-handed. FC Crotone led 2-1 at the break.
What the result means
A 5-game wait for victory is over for FC Crotone. Salernitana's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.