FC Crotone vs Audace Cerignola: the story of the match
21' — Audace Cerignola took the lead: 0-1. G. Vitale scored it. 44' — Audace Cerignola extended the lead: 0-2. L. D'Orazio scored from the penalty spot. 45' — Audace Cerignola extended the lead: 0-3. C. Padula scored it. 45' — FC Crotone pulled one back: 1-3. A. Musso scored it. Half time: 1-3.
76' — FC Crotone pulled one back: 2-3. G. J. Tanco scored it. Audace Cerignola won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CrotoneDrawAudace Cerignola
Pre-match model estimate: FC Crotone 32%, draw 29%, Audace Cerignola 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Audace Cerignola took the lead on 21 minutes thanks to G. Vitale. Audace Cerignola extended their lead to 2-0 on 44 minutes thanks to L. D'Orazio from the penalty spot. Audace Cerignola extended their lead to 3-0 on 45 minutes thanks to C. Padula. FC Crotone pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 45 minutes thanks to A. Musso, set up by G. J. Tanco. Audace Cerignola led 3-1 at the break.
FC Crotone pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 76 minutes thanks to G. J. Tanco, set up by F. Grosso.
What the numbers say
FC Crotone had 5 shots (4 on target) to Audace Cerignola's 8 (5). FC Crotone won 8 corners, Audace Cerignola 6. 5 saves came from the FC Crotone goalkeeper. FC Crotone produced 216 dangerous attacks to Audace Cerignola's 146.
What it means
FC Crotone have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Audace Cerignola end a run of 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
