FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti: the story of the match
27' — Petrolul Ploiesti took the lead: 0-1. R. Martins scored it. 39' — Petrolul Ploiesti extended the lead: 0-2. M. Ionita scored it. Half time: 0-2.
54' — Petrolul Ploiesti extended the lead: 0-3. R. Martins scored it. 65' — FC Botosani pulled one back: 1-3. A. Dumiter scored it. 83' — N. Ilas of FC Botosani was sent off. ?' — R. Martins of Petrolul Ploiesti was sent off. Petrolul Ploiesti won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC BotosaniDrawPetrolul Ploiesti
Pre-match model estimate: FC Botosani 47%, draw 24%, Petrolul Ploiesti 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Botosani win in 47% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Petrolul Ploiesti win 29%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Petrolul Ploiesti got the better of FC Botosani, winning 3-1 at Stadionul Municipal. Petrolul Ploiesti owed a lot to R. Martins, who struck twice. It was 0-2 at half-time.
Key moments
Petrolul Ploiesti took the lead on 27 minutes thanks to R. Martins, set up by L. Santos Teixeira. A Petrolul Ploiesti goal stood after a VAR check in the 28th minute. VAR checked and confirmed the Petrolul Ploiesti goal on 39 minutes. Petrolul Ploiesti extended their lead to 2-0 in the 39th minute: M. Ionita. It was FC Botosani 0-2 Petrolul Ploiesti at half-time.
R. Martins made it 3-0 for Petrolul Ploiesti after 54 minutes, set up by S. Hanca. A Petrolul Ploiesti goal stood after a VAR check in the 56th minute. FC Botosani pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 65th minute: A. Dumiter. VAR checked and confirmed the FC Botosani goal on 67 minutes. FC Botosani were a man down from the 83rd minute, when N. Ilas was sent off.
Petrolul Ploiesti had a player sent off: R. Martins.
What it means
A 3-game wait for victory is over for Petrolul Ploiesti.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
