Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 10' — Burgos CF took the lead: 0-1. Jon Karrikaburu scored it. 14' — FC Andorra equalised: 1-1. Lautaro De León scored it. 17' — Burgos CF went back in front: 1-2. Oier Luengo scored it. 28' — Burgos CF extended the lead: 1-3. Curro scored from the penalty spot. 43' — FC Andorra pulled one back: 2-3. Jordi Cano scored it. Half time: 2-3, with FC Andorra applying more of the pressure.
Burgos CF won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC AndorraDrawBurgos CF
Pre-match model estimate: FC Andorra 49%, draw 26%, Burgos CF 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC AndorraBurgos CF
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3122
Last 15 min3934
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Andorra win in 49% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Burgos CF win 25%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Burgos CF took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to Jon Karrikaburu. Just 4 minutes later (14') FC Andorra drew level at 1-1, Lautaro De León on target. Burgos CF went 2-1 up on 17 minutes thanks to Oier Luengo. FC Andorra had a goal ruled out in the 28th minute. The officials disallowed a FC Andorra goal on 28 minutes.
Burgos CF extended their lead to 3-1 in the 28th minute: Curro from the penalty spot. FC Andorra pulled one back to make it 2-3 in the 43rd minute: Jordi Cano. Half-time: 2-3, Burgos CF in front.
What the numbers say
FC Andorra won 7 corners, Burgos CF 3. FC Andorra produced 63 dangerous attacks to Burgos CF's 33.
The bigger picture
FC Andorra drop from 18th to 19th on 10 points. The result lifts Burgos CF to 6th with 20 points, up from 8th.
What’s next
FC Andorra's next match is away to CD Tenerife on 1 November. Burgos CF host CD Castellon next, on 1 November in LaLiga 2.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga 2
