Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Alpendorada and AD Castro Daire drew 2-2 in Campeonato de Portugal.
Venue: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada.
Match details
Venue
Municipal Stadium Alpendorada, Alpendorada
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
FC Alpendorada vs AD Castro Daire: the story of the match
1' — AD Castro Daire took the lead: 0-1. 1' — FC Alpendorada equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
75' — FC Alpendorada completed the turnaround: 2-1. 77' — AD Castro Daire equalised: 2-2. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC AlpendoradaDrawAD Castro Daire
Pre-match model estimate: FC Alpendorada 48%, draw 27%, AD Castro Daire 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Alpendorada win in 48% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and AD Castro Daire win 25%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Alpendorada and AD Castro Daire shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Campeonato de Portugal. The half-time score was 1-1.
Key moments
AD Castro Daire took the lead on 1 minutes. FC Alpendorada drew level at 1-1 on 1 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
FC Alpendorada completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 75 minutes. AD Castro Daire drew level at 2-2 on 77 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 5-1, 3-1 on target. FC Alpendorada won 5 corners, AD Castro Daire 5. FC Alpendorada produced 133 dangerous attacks to AD Castro Daire's 89.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
