Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
FBC Melgar and CD Comerciantes Unidos meet on in Primera Division, Clausura.
Venue: Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards FBC Melgar (78%).
Why it matters: A win could put FBC Melgar top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
78%14%
FBC Melgar78%Draw14%CD Comerciantes Unidos8%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
FBC Melgar vs CD Comerciantes Unidos: preview
FBC Melgar have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. FBC Melgar are unbeaten in 6 matches. 5 of FBC Melgar's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. CD Comerciantes Unidos have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. CD Comerciantes Unidos have scored in 4 matches in a row. 7 of CD Comerciantes Unidos's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
FBC Melgar are in position 5 with 25 points, CD Comerciantes Unidos in position 13 with 13 points. A win could lift FBC Melgar as high as position 1. A win could lift CD Comerciantes Unidos as high as position 12.
Our pre-match model estimate: FBC Melgar 78%, draw 14%, CD Comerciantes Unidos 8%.
Table by result
FBC Melgar5
A win can take them top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 7.
Win1–2Draw3Loss3–7
CD Comerciantes Unidos13
A win lifts them to 12.
Win12Draw12–13Loss13
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): FBC Melgar win in 78% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and CD Comerciantes Unidos win 8%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Comerciantes Unidos arrive 13th in the standings on 13 points; FBC Melgar are 5th with 25 points. FBC Melgar are 12 points ahead of CD Comerciantes Unidos. A win could take FBC Melgar top of the table.
Form guide
FBC Melgar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 3 wins and 2 draws. 6 games without defeat for FBC Melgar. Across 10 matches, FBC Melgar have scored 1.9 and let in 1.1 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, CD Comerciantes Unidos have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. CD Comerciantes Unidos have found the net in 4 straight games. Goals have flowed in CD Comerciantes Unidos' games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Clausura
